Is the BJP really on the slope?

If compared with 2014, then these surveys do not give a good gesture to the BJP. However, the relief for BJP is still a relief that the Congress does not seem to face a tough challenge.
If Lok Sabha elections are held on time, then only eight months left. Where do you go now people will find asking what will happen in 2019? At Pan shops, on the tea halls, in the crowd, in the market, there is a round of political discussions. Will Modi return? Or will Rahul's fortunes rise? Or will there be any PM from Mayawati or Mamta Banerjee? Answers to such questions are obviously only results. But Opinion Polls from different channels have started to point to the future picture of 2019. The general opinion in the survey of these channels is that if the elections are held today, then NDA leader Narendra Modi will return. But the possibility of huge loss to the BJP is being expressed. On the other hand, there is talk of growing the seats of Congress, but it does not seem to be reaching this condition which prevents the BJP.

According to the INDIA TODAY Mood of Nation Survey, the BJP is not going to get a majority this time as the last time. BJP may have to be satisfied with 245 seats in comparison to 282 seats. Congress can get 83 seats In the survey, the NDA has a clear majority with 281 seats, while the UPA is far behind with 122 seats. There is a possibility of 140 seats in the other account. According to this survey, NDA can get 36%, UPA gets 31% and others get 33% votes.

According to Times Now survey, BJP can win 227 seats and Congress 78 seats. While survey of ABP CSDS conducted on the completion of four years of Modi government, it has been said that NDA 274 and UPA can win 164 seats.

So these three surveys conducted at different times are indicating a decrease in the ground power of the BJP. But according to INDIA TODAY, the popularity of Prime Minister Narendra Modi is still intact and he is considered to be the best Prime Minister of India till now. However, compared to January this year, his popularity has decreased slightly. 49% are in favor of Modi while only 27% in favor of Rahul Gandhi. However, the relief for Rahul is that they have become the most popular with 46% of the votes in the opposition's PM candidates. 8% people are in favor of P. Chidambaram and Priyanka Gandhi, Mamta Banerjee and six-six percent people.

If you talk about issues then unemployment, inflation and corruption are still big issues for the common man. According to INDIA TODAY, these three issues are now more concerned with the people than in January. On the issue of unemployment, people's anxiety has increased by five percent compared to the previous survey. Issues of note-taking, women's protection and peasants are not very important for the people. At times, according to Times Now, people on economy, international relations and infrastructure gave NDA five out of three stars in five.

An Oppn poll is also threatening the BJP in the Assembly elections in the end of this year. According to ABP Sea Voter, BJP will lose in Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan and Chhattisgarh in all three states. Although the poll says that people want change in the state but at the center they want to keep the BJP alive. For the Prime Minister Narendra Modi becomes the first choice in these electoral states. According to the survey, in Madhya Pradesh, Congress can get 117 out of 230 seats and BJP 106, in Rajasthan 200 out of 200 and BJP 57 and Chhattisgarh 54 seats out of 90 and BJP 33 seats.

Clearly, if compared to 2014, then all these surveys do not give a good signal to the BJP. However, the relief for BJP is still a relief that the Congress does not seem to face a tough challenge. The scattered opposition is also good news for the BJP. But with elections coming closer, opposition unity in states like UP, Bihar, Maharashtra and Bengal can present a serious challenge to the BJP. So is the BJP really on the slope? Can Modi's charisma make the return of BJP?


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